27 May 2015

Advice for Graduates: Buy Stocks

It’s that time of year when another batch of kids finishes school and begins working. Old folks like me will offer plenty of advice knowing that most of what we say will be a little lost on these fine young people, just as it was on us when we were their age.  You never know, though, good counsel today might get re-tweeted and go viral. My advice is simple: buy… Read More

26 May 2015

Quality Investments Over Quantity Investments

In recent months, I’ve been working to create a set of ‘primers’ that describe certain market factors that we pursue in our strategy in hopes of increasing returns, lower risk, or, in a perfect world, doing both. So far, we’ve looked at three equity factors: size (small companies tend to outperform large companies), value (cheap companies tend to outperform expensive companies) and momentum (stocks that have recently outperformed/underperformed are likely… Read More

15 May 2015

The Trouble with Hedge Funds

Yesterday, in my article about activist investors, I referred to a Yale academic who said that one hedge fund index showed that activists had sluggish performance, but then said that this index series is widely known to be troublesome without any explanation for what makes them problematic. Hedge fund ‘indexes’ are well known to overstate performance and understate risk, making them appear more appealing to investors than they really are.  The… Read More

5 May 2015

Estimating the All-In Costs

While I was in New York over the weekend, my sister walked me past a six-story townhouse right off of Fifth Avenue that now belongs to one of my (very few) high school girlfriends.  It’s a pretty nice house with views of Central Park and apparently cost them a cool $26 million (not including any renovation and decoration costs).    This woman married her college boyfriend who is now the… Read More

28 Apr 2015

Attention Gold Bugs: Don’t Worry, Be Happy

Last week, I wrote that it was difficult to find ‘alternative’ investments that were truly diversifying and that, as a whole, alternatives provide basic broad market exposures that you can find less expensively elsewhere.  Click here to refresh your memory. A client wrote in after that email to ask if we would ever consider gold.  I wrote about gold a little more than a year ago (twice because it’s such… Read More

27 Apr 2015

Flash Crash Surprise, Five Years Later

It’s been almost five years since the ‘flash crash,’ when markets fell by about nine percent in less than 40 minutes in the middle of a trading day. Some well-established companies like Procter & Gamble fell by 40 percent within one minute while others like Sam Adams traded for just one penny per share even though it was selling for around $60 per share minutes earlier. I remember it vividly… Read More

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24 Apr 2015

New Thoughts on the Active Passive Debate

Wednesday night, I was reading a new paper by some of the principles at AQR titled, ‘Fact, Fiction and Value Investing.’  You can find a copy here and this follows on a paper that they wrote last year called, ‘Fact, Fiction and Momentum Investing (which you can find here).’ Now that you’ve read our primers on value and momentum investing, no further explanation is required, although if you want a refresher, you… Read More

21 Apr 2015

Momentum: A Moving Body in Motion

In recent weeks, I’ve written about two well known risk factors, the size premium and the value premium. Today, I’ve got a more difficult topic to cover: momentum.  Virtually everyone agrees that you can find evidence of momentum in the data, but there’s a lot of disagreement about why it exists and how it should or shouldn’t be applied in the real world. In short, momentum is the tendency for stocks that… Read More

20 Apr 2015

Finding True Diversification in Alternatives

They say that the only free lunch in finance is diversification. With stocks trading at lofty valuations and bonds yields historically low, it’s sensible to look at other alternative strategies that could potentially lower risk or increase return (or better yet: do both). Over the last five years, investors have flocked to ‘alternative’ investments, although the definition of alternative is pretty broad and can include things as generic as REITs… Read More

15 Apr 2015

Portfolio Insights

We are pleased to provide a digital copy of Portfolio Insights, our quarterly newsletter. Table of Contents: The Trouble with Forecasting Inside the Economy Stock Market Summary Bond Market Review Choosing a Trustee Best Execution for Clients Click here to read this issue: 2015 Q1 Portfolio Insights