29 Jan 2015

Expected Returns for Stocks

…and currencies from around the world. This site is run by Research Affiliates, an investment research firm that develops indexes and strategies that other investment managers license. They say that…

17 Feb 2015

Fun With Discount Rates

…future cash flows or implied discount rate. The authors of the Credit Suisse article use present values and estimates of cash flow to determine a discount rate, which is interesting…

6 Mar 2015

Another New Normal?

…think most people did, that interest rates had a ‘zero bound,’ meaning that the yield can’t go below zero, which created an asymmetric risk profile of limited upside (prices go…

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22 Apr 2015

A Real Greek Tragedy

…it wouldn’t be a surprise to see troubles in other developed periphery countries like Spain and Italy or in emerging markets overall. Given that stock market valuations in the US…

5 Jun 2015

Interest Rates Rising

Long-term interest rates have moved up swiftly in recent weeks. On April 20th, the 10-year German government bond had a yield of 0.06 percent. Around that time, I couldn’t stop…