Advice for Graduates: Buy Stocks

27 May 2015

It’s that time of year when another batch of kids finishes school and begins working. Old folks like me will offer plenty of advice knowing that most of what we say will be a little lost on these fine young people, just as it was on us when we were their age.  You never know, though, good counsel today might get re-tweeted and go viral. My advice is simple: buy… Read More

The Trouble with Hedge Funds

15 May 2015

Yesterday, in my article about activist investors, I referred to a Yale academic who said that one hedge fund index showed that activists had sluggish performance, but then said that this index series is widely known to be troublesome without any explanation for what makes them problematic. Hedge fund ‘indexes’ are well known to overstate performance and understate risk, making them appear more appealing to investors than they really are.  The… Read More

To Hedge or Not to Hedge

10 Apr 2015

For the most part, the returns associated with foreign stocks and bonds have two components: the return of the stock or bond and, secondly, the return of the foreign currency.  Over the past eight months, the impact of the exchange rate has been unusually high.   For example, a German investor that owns an index fund in the DAX is up 24.04 percent so far this year through yesterday.  For… Read More

Are Markets Getting More Volatile?

08 Apr 2015

I’ve had the feeling recently that stocks were more volatile than usual.  As funny as this may sound, I don’t trust my own gut at all.  Despite its size, my gut is no better than anyone else’s at creating hunches that are worth a darn, so I turn to data frequently. To address my intuition, I did a quick check of the average volatility for the first quarter compared to… Read More

Buffett Speaks, Acropolis Listens

02 Mar 2015

Warren Buffett released his 50th annual letter to shareholders over the weekend and, as usual, it was an enjoyable read. In case you missed it, here’s a link. The report on 2014 activities was fine, but the really interesting part is a look back at the past, present and future of Berkshire Hathaway that begins on page 24. Buffett spends the first five pages discussing the early days, most notably… Read More

Canaries in a Coal Mine: Stocks Sell Off

26 Sep 2014

Since taking over Daily Insights last July 1, the market has gone up steadily at an annualized pace of 19.69 percent through the close of business yesterday. In addition to the substantial gains, volatility for the S&P 500 has been uncharacteristically low. Naturally, I’m appreciative that we’ve all been able to enjoy a straight-up market, but I’m also realistic and know that it won’t always be like this. It’s normal… Read More

Alibaba vs. Amazon

22 Sep 2014

Alibaba Group Holding (ticker: BABA) went public on Friday at a price of $68 per share, which valued the company at $168 billion, making it one of the 40 largest companies in the world, according to S&P Capital IQ. Once the stock started trading in the open market, however, investors bid the stock higher and it ended the day at almost $94 per share, valuing the company at $231.4 billion…. Read More

Penny Stock Scams

14 Jul 2014

On Friday, the Wall Street Journal ran a story about a company with no assets, no revenue and only one employee that has a market value of more than $6 billion! I immediately had three thoughts. First, I was reminded of a story that I read in 2000 (I found it online here) during the technology bubble.  One of my favorite authors, Michael Lewis, wrote a column about NetJ.com that… Read More

Dogs of the Dow

14 May 2014

The first investment strategy that I can remember hearing about is the Dogs of the Dow strategy. One of my parent’s friends, who knew I was interested in stocks back in high school, told me one of the ‘secrets’ to beating the market. The strategy is fairly simply: start with the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and sort them by their dividend yield.  Buy the 10… Read More

Buybacks vs Dividends

31 Mar 2014

When a company earns a profit, all accounting maneuvers aside, there is more cash in the till at the end of the year than there was in the beginning. Some of the money reinvested in the business in the form of capital expenditures (often called CAPEX), which refers to the purchase or upgrade of physical assets like property, buildings or equipment. When management has made all of their capital expenditures,… Read More