Over the last ten years, the oldest technology ETF I could find, the Select Spider Tech fund (ticker symbol XLK), has made more than 20 percent per annum through September 30th. A $10,000 investment in that fund would have been worth $64,172 at the end of last month. Even though I know better than to drive forward while looking out through the rearview mirror, I can’t help it: I want… Read More
Like many industries, the wealth management business has many rules and regulations. Many of the rules make good sense and were created after real-world problems occurred. I have one rule on my mind this week, and it concerns one of the ways that we communicate with you: texting. Acropolis is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and one of its rules concerns maintaining our books and records. At… Read More
An Arizona State professor, Hendrik Bessembinder, wrote a fascinating paper detailing something that we intuitively sense: a small handful of stocks have created almost all of the wealth over time, and most stocks don’t provide much in the way of returns. It’s one of the reasons we want hot tips (even when we know they aren’t likely to be hot). The paper’s provocative title is “Do stocks outperform Treasury bills?”… Read More
People started asking me about a year ago what the election would do to stock prices. I didn’t know then, and I still don’t. Over the years, I’ve read many articles describing how markets fare under Democratic and Republican administrations. I’ve also done the research myself and written several of those articles. Last year, I even wrote about what happened in the year leading up to the presidential election because… Read More
When we launched Acropolis over 22 years ago, I thought understanding optimizations would be the key to our success. If we could just figure out “the” optimal allocation, we would be well ahead of everyone else. Of course, that’s true, but figuring out “the” optimal allocation wasn’t possible because you can’t tell in advance. My memory (which could be better) is that the software package we used then suggested a… Read More
I am proud that one of Acropolis’ team members has a new certification for the firm. Before I jump into that, though, here’s a look at what our fine team has already: 15 CFP® Certificants 4 Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Charterholders 3 Certified Public Accountants (CPAs) 1 Certified Exit Planner (CEPA) 1 Certificate in Performance Measurement (CIPM) holder 3 ASPPA Qualified 401k Administrators (QKA) 1 Investment Adviser Certified Compliance Professional… Read More
I saw a chart last week that caught my attention, and I recreated it below. It shows the market capitalization weight of Chinese and Indian stocks. Finding historical weights is a little challenging, so my chart shows the year-end weight of the two countries, except in 2024, where I show the market weight as of June 30th, 2024. The picture makes it appear that the last half-year is a complete… Read More
Last week, Minjung Son sent the Investment Committee some information showing that the total market value of all emerging market stocks was about $10 trillion. Ryan Craft chuckled and said that was about equal to the three largest stocks in the US. Although I’ve written about how concentrated the US market is and how emerging markets haven’t done all that well in recent years, I was amazed that three stocks… Read More
It’s hard not to love the Roth IRA because once money gets into the account, all withdrawals should stay tax-free forever. That’s in contrast to a traditional IRA, which incentivizes savings by offering a tax deduction at the time of the contribution and allows the assets to grow without taxation. The downside is that withdrawals are taxed as ordinary income. We call those tax-deferred accounts because you put off the… Read More
I’m writing about private markets again, which may seem odd to long-time readers because we don’t invest in private markets. I routinely think about private investments for two reasons. First, they’re the hottest topic in our industry—what are you doing about privates? Have you heard of this private or that private? Second, as I’ve said many times, I’ve invested in some to learn more about them and see if they… Read More
