Big Data, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

02 Apr 2018

Like every industry, the investment community goes through ‘hot’ trends that grab everyone’s attention and a lot people’s dollars. One of the reason that I’ve attended Schwab’s annual conference for the past 16 years is that I like to see these trends in the form of sales pitches to advisors. I didn’t pick up on this in the very early days, but it became obvious after the 2008 financial crisis… Read More

Cliff Asness Says, Fire Your Mechanic

11 Sep 2017

This article was originally published on June 3, 2014.  In my humble opinion, it holds up well; although I am disappointed that value stocks still haven’t turned around more than three years later.  As much as I don’t like that fact, however, the central thesis of my article is that these strategies can underperform for long periods of time.  One of my favorite people in our industry is Cliff Asness,… Read More

Prerequisites for Alternative Investments

24 Oct 2016

One of the more popular categories of mutual funds over the past few years have been so-called ‘alternative’ funds.  Alternative investments, broadly defined, are strategies that seek returns that are uncorrelated from traditional investments like stocks and bonds. While alternative investments were once largely confined to private partnerships, they are now popular in mutual funds, or what the industry refers to as ’40 Act Funds.  Following the 2008 financial crisis, alternative… Read More

Is the Grass Greener in Private Equity?

26 Sep 2016

Private equity is in the news quite a bit, but finding the returns for this asset class is somewhat more challenging. There are a lot of stories about mega returns, but as they say at the University of Chicago, multiple anecdotes don’t make data. Until recently, I only had small windows into the world of private equity returns. First, when private equity management firms like Blackstone, KKR, and the Carlyle… Read More

Applied Investment Rigor

29 Feb 2016

Barron’s cover article this weekend featured AQR, one of the fund companies that we use.  You can find the article here, but a subscription is required. The article was great, really explaining the firm and many of their processes – so much so that one of the online commenters asked, ‘what is this, an ad?’ My only disappointment was that the article really highlighted their alternative mutual funds, strategies like managed futures… Read More

When Trends Reverse

08 Dec 2015

Last Thursday, Mario Draghi, the President of the European Central Bank (ECB) disappointed markets by not increasing their current bond buying program. It was a shock to markets, although you wouldn’t really know it from looking at the stock market.  The S&P 500 lost -1.44 percent, and while that’s a fair amount, it definitely falls in the normal category and not in the shocking category. The real action was in the… Read More

Oil as an Inflation Hedge

04 Sep 2015

Watching the bottom fall out for oil prices is really one of the most dramatic things that I’ve witnessed in several years.  Thankfully, it hasn’t had too much direct impact on us because we don’t have straight exposure to commodities, click here for the details on why we’ve avoided commodities). Of course, we’re all affected by the price drop.  The good news is easy to remember because I get a reminder every… Read More

The Trouble with Hedge Funds

15 May 2015

Yesterday, in my article about activist investors, I referred to a Yale academic who said that one hedge fund index showed that activists had sluggish performance, but then said that this index series is widely known to be troublesome without any explanation for what makes them problematic. Hedge fund ‘indexes’ are well known to overstate performance and understate risk, making them appear more appealing to investors than they really are.  The… Read More

Attention Gold Bugs: Don’t Worry, Be Happy

28 Apr 2015

Last week, I wrote that it was difficult to find ‘alternative’ investments that were truly diversifying and that, as a whole, alternatives provide basic broad market exposures that you can find less expensively elsewhere.  Click here to refresh your memory. A client wrote in after that email to ask if we would ever consider gold.  I wrote about gold a little more than a year ago (twice because it’s such… Read More

Finding True Diversification in Alternatives

20 Apr 2015

They say that the only free lunch in finance is diversification. With stocks trading at lofty valuations and bonds yields historically low, it’s sensible to look at other alternative strategies that could potentially lower risk or increase return (or better yet: do both). Over the last five years, investors have flocked to ‘alternative’ investments, although the definition of alternative is pretty broad and can include things as generic as REITs… Read More