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5 May 2020

Nothing Can Stop America

…company – wow!). Still, I’m reminded of one of my favorite quotes of his: Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.  …

By David Ott Tags: commentary, Economy, Investing, Markets, Wall Street
21 Jun 2021

Federal Reserve Changes its Tune

…don’t have a picture of the dot plot, I made a chart with the same information (the dot plot was taking too long!). The first chart shows where members (voting…

By David Ott Tags: Economy, Federal Reserve, finances, Interest Rates, Wall Street
19 Jul 2021

How Many Stocks is Too Many?

…1965, when the total return (price and dividend) data starts for the DJIA, the annual return through June was 10.49 percent. To my surprise, the S&P 500 returned 10.50 percent…

By David Ott Tags: Diversification, Investing, Markets, Stocks, Wall Street
15 Nov 2021

Inflation Runs Hot

…2007 due to sky high oil prices, the ex-food & energy, or core index, remained anchored close to 2%. Today, however, even the core index is rising at a 4.6%…

By Ryan Craft Tags: Economy, Inflation, Investing, Markets, Portfolio Strategy, Wall Street
29 Nov 2021

Omicron Variant Strikes Markets

…preliminary indications), policy-makers will start to form a response. And all the while, markets will price in the new information – every moment of every trading day. So, it’s fair…

By David Ott Tags: commentary, COVID, Economy, stock market, Volatility, Wall Street
27 Jun 2022

The Chance of Recession

…tries to estimate whether the economy is in a recession. I’m sure that Ph.D.’s fight about this one a lot, but there’s a problem: the ‘right now’ is as of…

By David Ott Tags: Economy, Federal Reserve, Markets, Recession, Unemployment Rate, Volatility, Wall Street
31 Oct 2022

When Recessions End

…The best return was in 1953, when a $1 investment grew to $1.88. The next best was in the roaring 1920s when $1 grew to $1.84. Now, as I highlighted…

By David Ott Tags: Bonds, Economy, Federal Reserve, Markets, Recession, Volatility
14 Mar 2023

Silicon Valley Bank: Something Broke

…inflation numbers. The expectations are for the headline rate to come in at 6.0 percent year-over-year, and 5.5 percent year-over-year for the core, ex food and energy rate. As noted…

By David Ott Tags: commentary, Economy, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Markets, Silicon Valley Bank, Wall Street
3 Apr 2023

Successful Trading at Acropolis

…to market. Last year, our traders went to market almost 23,000 times, trading $1.4 billion dollars of stocks and exchange traded fund (ETFs). Those numbers don’t even count mutual funds…

By David Ott Tags: Best Execution, commentary, Markets, Portfolio Strategy, Stocks, Trading
14 Apr 2025

Unhappy Treasuries

…areas of the bond market. Since Liberation Day, Treasuries are down -1.4 percent, mortgages are down -1.9 percent, and investment-grade corporate bonds are down -2.6 percent. Those are the three…

By David Ott Tags: Bonds, Economy, Treasuries, Volatility, Wall Street

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