Stocks

11 Nov 2024

Morningstar Makes Things Right?

In June, I wrote that the S&P 500 had become a growth index by Morningstar’s definition (you can refresh your memory here). I like Morningstar, especially its stock analysis, but it confuses investors by oversimplifying complex topics. While that is a laudable goal (and I try to do the same thing), they go too far. Well, Morningstar saw the problem that the investment community could see and changed their rules!… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Investing, Large Cap Stocks, Markets, Stocks, Style Drift, Volatility, Wall Street

14 Oct 2024

The Hottest Stocks of All Time

An Arizona State professor, Hendrik Bessembinder, wrote a fascinating paper detailing something that we intuitively sense: a small handful of stocks have created almost all of the wealth over time, and most stocks don’t provide much in the way of returns. It’s one of the reasons we want hot tips (even when we know they aren’t likely to be hot). The paper’s provocative title is “Do stocks outperform Treasury bills?”… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Diversification, Economy, Stocks, Volatility, Wall Street

9 Sep 2024

Index Fund Overhaul: Passive Investing vs. Market Concentration

One of my (many) pet peeves is when people offhandedly say, “Just buy an index fund.” I get the point, and I agree with it: Index funds are a great way to invest, much better than the old-school method of active investing. That said, there are thousands of index funds, and the rules that govern the indexes often create very different portfolios with very different performance. The largest tech-sector ETF… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Diversification, ETFs, Investing, Markets, Portfolio Strategy, Stocks

29 Jul 2024

Small Cap’s Revenge (…has a long way to go)

Take a look at small cap returns last week! Since July 9th, small-cap stocks have risen by about 10 percent, a remarkable run of 16 trading days. Better still, the S&P 500 fell during that time, highlighting the diversification aspect of small caps. One of the pillars of factor investing is that small-cap stocks should outperform large-cap stocks, a phenomenon known as the size premium. From an academic standpoint, there… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Investing, Markets, Small Cap / Size Factor, Stocks, Wall Street

22 Jul 2024

China vs. India

I saw a chart last week that caught my attention, and I recreated it below. It shows the market capitalization weight of Chinese and Indian stocks. Finding historical weights is a little challenging, so my chart shows the year-end weight of the two countries, except in 2024, where I show the market weight as of June 30th, 2024. The picture makes it appear that the last half-year is a complete… Read More

By David Ott Tags: China, Economy, Emerging Markets, India, Investing, Markets, Stocks, Volatility, Wall Street

15 Jul 2024

Tech vs. the World

Last week, Minjung Son sent the Investment Committee some information showing that the total market value of all emerging market stocks was about $10 trillion. Ryan Craft chuckled and said that was about equal to the three largest stocks in the US. Although I’ve written about how concentrated the US market is and how emerging markets haven’t done all that well in recent years, I was amazed that three stocks… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Diversification, Economy, Emerging Markets, International Investing, Investing, Markets, Stocks, Wall Street

1 Jul 2024

Want NVDA? You’ve already got it

I was having breakfast the other day, and someone said they missed not having the 3,000 percent gain on Nvidia (NVDA) over the past five years. Of course, I agreed, but then I returned to the office thinking that the return couldn’t have been that high. In fact, over the five years ending on June 28th, the cumulative return for NVDA was 2,926 percent, so I’ll give that to them…. Read More

By David Ott Tags: Economy, Investing, Markets, Stocks, Volatility, Wall Street

17 Jun 2024

Is the S&P 500 a Growth Index?

In addition to working with private clients, Acropolis has an incredible team of professionals who manage retirement plans, principally 401k plans (click here for more information). I meet with some of the retirement plan trustees to discuss the plan’s investments. When we manage a plan, we want enough choices so participants can build a diversified portfolio but not so many choices that they are overwhelmed by the options and don’t… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Economy, Growth Stocks, Investing, Markets, Stocks, Value Investing, Volatility, Wall Street

10 Jun 2024

Stocks Look Cheap!

Since the beginning of 2023, the S&P 500 index has grown a staggering 40% through the end of May. While some of this performance has been driven by earnings growth, a lot of it has been good old-fashioned speculation as prices have outrun earnings. This is evident when looking at prices through the lens of company fundamentals. Consider the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This ratio shows the value investors pay for… Read More

By Ryan Craft Tags: Diversification, Economy, Investing, Markets, P/E Ratios, Stocks, Volatility, Wall Street

20 May 2024

Dow Jones Rocks 40,000

When I entered the investment industry upon graduating from college in 1995, the market was hitting all-new highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), which everyone seemed to pay attention to, had just broken through 4,000 and would hit 5,000 by the end of the year. When the DJIA crossed 10,000 for the first time in 1999, there were tons of photos of traders on the floor of the NYSE… Read More

By David Ott Tags: Economy, Investing, Markets, Stocks, Wall Street

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