Although it’s come and gone, I am still thinking about the price spike in the 10-year US Treasury note that occurred last Wednesday. Someone from Blackrock told me yesterday that it was the most volatile day for the 10-year since 1980, which implies that it was more volatile than 99.91 percent of all of those trading sessions. You can see from the chart that all of wilding was in the… Read More
Years ago, before the crisis, I read a terrific book by investor Joel Greenblatt titled, ‘You Can Be a Stock Market Genius: Uncover the Secret Hiding Places of Stock Market Profits.’ Usually a title like that is a turn off for me because it implies that investing is easy and that someone’s behind the curtain who knows the secrets to making money that no one else knows. Despite the title,… Read More
There are many reasons to establish trusts including the efficient transfer of wealth, avoiding probate, philanthropic commitments, tax reduction, or protecting assets, among other things. Ten years ago, the tax reduction benefits were applicable to more people because the estate tax exemption (the threshold where estate taxes kick in) was $1.5 million. Today, the exemption is $5.34 million and, therefore, affects far fewer people. That doesn’t mean that you don’t… Read More
In any investment, the total return is comprised of the income earned and capital appreciation. The yield on the bond market is relatively low, so it’s been good news for bond investors that interest rates have fallen because that means that prices are higher, providing some capital appreciation in a low yield environment. But that’s also the bad news: we’re in a low yield environment. Last year, when interest rates… Read More
At this point, the S&P 500 is still positive for the year, unlike all of the other (smaller) US asset classes or developed markets overseas, which are all down. Emerging markets and REITs are also up this year, but emerging markets are recovering from a loss of -3.86 percent last year and REITs are benefitting from the surprise drop in interest rates. When we think about asset class results, like… Read More
A little before my time, comedian George Carlin did a bit called ‘seven dirty words’ that were unsuitable for television. Although the words are fairly commonplace now, I’m glad that the networks and basic cable keep them off of the air until my kids are in bed. Finance has a few dirty words as well, but unlike Carlin’s list, I can use them here to describe how we mostly, but… Read More
Last year, Fidelity Investments did a study called the College Savings Indicator to measure how families deal with college costs. They found that 26 percent of parents will pay for all college costs, four percent will not pay for any college costs and the remaining 70 percent plan on paying a portion of college costs. In short, college is still a high priority. On average, these families expect to pay… Read More
Every investment strategy requires patience. Let’s say, for example, that you believe, as we do, that small cap stocks tend to outperform large cap stocks over time. You’ve got the empirical data going back to 1926 that clearly shows, with statistical significance, that small stocks outperform large ones. Small stocks are more volatile than large stocks, but that fits elegantly with the theory that to earn a higher return, you… Read More
