27 Jan 2025

The Cutting Room Floor (Part 2)

Last week, I promoted tonight’s 7th Annual Investor Social by showing some of the slides that I had to cut from the presentation. Since we are at capacity for the ballroom, I was scolded and told to do it again, but I’m breaking the rules because I said I would show more today! Plus, I think it’s okay to come to the show as long as you’re okay standing in… Read More

8 Jan 2024

Amid Soft-Landing Talk, Leading Indicators Still Signal Recession

Last year at this time, I was heartily in the camp that the US would enter a recession in 2023. I’m always fine being wrong (it happens more than I care to admit), but I’m especially happy that we didn’t enter a recession. Part of my thinking is a chart that we will see a later in this Insight that shows the drawdown of Leading Economic Indicators. I won’t bury… Read More